FANTASY FOOTBALL: TOBY I DON’T THINK WE’RE IN STANFORD ANYMORE (TOBY GERHART BUST)

July 24, 2014

FANTASY FOOTBALL:

TOBY I DON’T THINK WE’RE IN STANFORD ANYMORE

(TOBY GERHART BUST)

 

By Muntradamus

 

BEAST DOME NATION.

 

Standing at 6 Feet Tall and a soft 230 lbs.  Toby Gerhart finds himself as the “workhorse” RB for the Jaguars.

If you thought the Jaguars were bad last season, now they are not even trying.  Toby Gerhart is nothing more than a backup RB in the NFL.  Since his rookie season in 2010, Toby Gerhart has rushed for 100 Yards only 1 Time.  Adrian Peterson missed plenty of games over that span, and Gerhart continues to disappoint.  Now Toby goes to Jacksonville, which is arguably the worst football team in the NFL.

 

Despite all of that, Experts on FantasyPros are touting Toby as a Top 15 RB?

 

TobyG

 

Gerhart Rankings

 

 

TOBY I DON’T THINK WE’RE IN STANFORD ANYMORE

(TOBY GERHART BUST)

 

BEAST DOME NATION.

 

There is an unspoken rule of Fantasy Football.  The Rule is:

Do not draft a bad player on a bad team.

The Jaguars come into 2014 heading in the wrong direction.  No Justin Blackmon.  No Maurice Jones-Drew.  Chad Henne or Blake Bortles at QB.  Defense is still below average to say the least.  None of this sounds good no matter how you twist the angle.

Not to mention a very tough playoff schedule.  If you are lucky enough to make it to Week 16, there is light at the end of the tunnel.

Playoffschedule

 

 

Are you still not sold on Toby Gerhart being a BUST based off my raw analysis?  Let me give you three major reasons why Toby Gerhart is the quickest way to blow your entire Fantasy Football Draft with a 3rd Round Pick.

 

#1

The Jaguars OFFENSE

Close your eyes. (metaphorically).

1st Down.  Chad Henne hands the ball off to Gerhart.  3 Yard gain.

2nd and 7. Chad Henne throws an incomplete pass.

3rd Down. Chad Henne throws an incomplete pass.

 

Is this how you really want to spend your Sundays?  The Jaguars offense does not have what it takes to drive the ball down the field.  Yet alone convert many 3rd downs.

Chad Henne has little accuracy and is only good for the occasional bomb.  The Jaguars offense will fail nearly every week making this a very hard team to root for.  If you have Gerhart, be prepared to root for the Jaguars offense.  Something I will choose not to experience in 2014.

Bortles has the look to be a good NFL QB, but the 1 year transition of facing defenses that he was facing at UCF compared to the Houston Texans.  Bortles is on the outside looking in.

#2

The Jaguars DEFENSE

Nice addition with Chris Clemons who will prove he is not done.  This defense however relies on one player.  Paul Posluszny.  If you thought the Cowboys defense crumbled when Sean Lee went out last season.  The Jaguars defense could be the worst defense in NFL History if Paul goes down.

Jonathan Cyprien (SS) can be a big player for this unit, but no matter the circumstance.  This defense is not good enough to shutdown teams for very long.  The Jaguars defense will be giving up points this season and can never be considered a good start in the Fantasy Football world.

 

#3

The Jaguars 

Between the Jaguars offense not moving the ball, and the defense giving up points.  It will not take long for the Jagaurs to abandon the run and go into comeback mode.  While Gerhart is a capable PPR RB, his numbers will still leave you dry as there will be games Toby fails to rush for 50 yards.

The real downside to Toby is the fact the Jaguars offense will keep Toby away from all the Redzone TDs.  If Toby can’t get in the endzone, you are asking a lot from him.  Toby is not like LeSean McCoy who can support his numbers without a TD.

The Jaguars this season are a team I would pick to win less than 5 games easily.  The team is clearly in re-build mode, they should have at least brought on a RB that can be the future.  Not a placeholder.

 

 

MUNTRADAMUS PREDICTION

TOBY GERHART – RB – JAX (2014)

990 TOTAL YARDS. 10 TD

MUNTRADAMUS RB RANKING #?

 

 

BEAST VIP

BDLogo3

 

 

Muntradamus Awards

July 24, 2014

51 Comments

  1. I think Funston or whatever yahoo kook… should be out of a job…but not as bad as Matthew Berry…good god that guy is TERRIBLE… Nice analysis Munt.

  2. even though beeing a Vikings fan and watched every Gerhart game as a proffesional I maybe dissagree with him beeing bad player, rather than mediocre. But with all negative things-yet the final prediction line given to Gerhart here by MUNT makes him 15th RB according last season pts- he would finish almost about 15th Rb last year Le’Veon Bell, and above Zack Stacy

  3. Bad Player when you consider the other RB talent around the NFL. I rather have Mike James who is going to be waived from TB over Gerhart if I was the GM of Jacksonville.

    New season. Gerhart is not even ranked in my Top 25. Keep in mind that those total yards = recieving yards as well.

  5. I agree with Munt on this one.

    Personally, I think Gerhart is quite a ways behind Maurice Jones Drew in terms of talent…And look how MJD struggled the past few year in that Jags offense.

    The only way Gerhart is going to be able to carve out any fantasy value is if he’s able to get a ton of volume and get 25 carries every game. The Jags will be so bad that I don’t think that will happen…And I also don’t think Gerhart can stay healthy even if it does happen.

    I never wanted to own MJD…And don’t want to own Gerhart either. I actually think Munts projection of 10 TD’s is being generous.

    I view Gerhart was a #3 RB in 12-14 team leagues and nothing more than that.

  6. Remember it is an amazing thing when the Yahoos and ESPNs rate these bums nice and high. Let them keep over ranking them let other people keep drafting them. We’ll keep Beasting and winning.

  7. Speaking of Yahoo and ESPN I think TRich is a huge steal for his ADP. I mean it’s ridiculous just because he had one bad season on a bad offense which was 0-2 at the time without their stud Josh Gordon to pull the defenses back. Then he was traded to a much higher powered offense and had to try and learn the offense on a whim. We’ll I see TRich being a top 10 if not even a top 5 RB this year based on goal line touches and TD’s alone. Now the Colts schedule is not the greatest but it’s not horrible either. And most importantly his weeks leading into the fantasy playoffs… Week 12 they get the Jags in Indy, week 13 Redskins in Indy and the best of all he will be back in Cleveland to face the team that traded him week 14. I do know the Browns have a very underrated defense but I still wouldn’t want to be the Browns during that game.

    ~J

  8. Munt,

    In Yahoo, Gerhart is going in the 9th round. Even though he is not a good, talented RB, isn’t the opportunity at that round to get a starting RB too great to pass up? Who else is really guaranteed carries that late?

  9. The reason I give Gerhart the generous 10 TDs is because of his time on the field.

    3rd Down RB/Goal Line RB/every play RB/even when they are down by 21 in the 4th Quarter RB.

    Jaguars are going to score at least 22 TDs this year (You can hope) and Gerhart should be involved in about less than half of those.

  10. He does not go in the 9th Round.

    His Current ADP averaged between ESPN/CBS/YAHOO is 53. That is the early 5th Round in a 12 man league. Same Round RG3 is falling in, for now.

  11. You realize that 990 yards and 10 tds would rank 16th among rbs last year, right?

  12. New Season new RB expectations.

    Stats are also inflated due to assuming he plays all 16 games. An average of around 80 Total Yards per game and less than a TD is average at best. He is a low-end RB#3 who you should still avoid drafting in your league.

  13. Its such as you learn my thoughts! You seem to understand so much about this, such as you wrote the e-book in it or something.

    I feel that you just can do with a few percent
    to pressure the message home a bit, however other than that, that is
    great blog. An excellent read. I’ll definitely be back.

  14. I just like the valuable info you supply for your articles.
    I will bookmark your blog and check again right here regularly.
    I’m quite certain I will learn lots of new stuff proper
    here! Good luck for the next!

  18. Your style is really unique in comparison to other people I have read stuff from.
    Many thanks for posting when you’ve got the opportunity, Guess I will just bookmark this blog.

  19. Hi! Would you mind if I share your blog with my twitter group?

    There’s a lot of folks that I think would really appreciate your content.
    Please let me know. Cheers

  20. Hi there, I do believe your site might be having web browser compatibility issues.
    Whenever I take a look at your site in Safari, it looks
    fine however, when opening in I.E., it’s got some overlapping issues.
    I merely wanted to provide you with a quick heads up!
    Aside from that, great site!

  25. Someone necessarily lend a hand to make severely articles I would state.
    This is the first time I frequented your web page and thus far?
    I amazed with the analysis you made to create this particular submit extraordinary.
    Great task!

  28. What’s up, this weekend is good for me, for the reason that this moment i am reading this
    wonderful informative piece of writing here at my
    house.

  29. Hey there! I’m at work surfing around your blog from my
    new apple iphone! Just wanted to say I love
    reading your blog and look forward to all your posts!
    Keep up the outstanding work!

  31. Terrific article! That is the type of info
    that are meant to be shared around the web. Shame on the seek engines for no longer positioning this post upper!
    Come on over and talk over with my web site . Thank you =)

  32. You actually make it seem so easy with your presentation but
    I find this matter to be really something that I think
    I would never understand. It seems too complicated
    and very broad for me. I’m looking forward for your
    next post, I will try to get the hang of it!

  35. This is very attention-grabbing, You are an excessively skilled blogger.
    I’ve joined your feed and sit up for seeking extra of your
    fantastic post. Also, I have shared your web site in my social
    networks

  36. Hello There. I found your weblog using msn. That is a very well
    written article. I’ll be sure to bookmark it and return to read
    extra of your useful information. Thanks for the post. I will definitely comeback.

  37. Hi, i read your blog from time to time and i own a similar one and i was just
    curious if you get a lot of spam feedback? If so how do you reduce it,
    any plugin or anything you can suggest? I get so
    much lately it’s driving me mad so any assistance is very much appreciated.

  40. Howdy just wanted to give you a quick heads up. The text in your content seem to be running off the screen in Internet explorer.
    I’m not sure if this is a formatting issue or something to
    do with web browser compatibility but I thought I’d post
    to let you know. The design look great though! Hope you get the problem solved soon. Kudos natalielise pof

  43. Hi there! I know this is kind of off topic but I was wondering if you knew where I could get a captcha plugin for my comment form?
    I’m using the same blog platform as yours and I’m having trouble finding one?
    Thanks a lot!

  45. I believe this is one of the so much vital info for me. And i am happy reading your article.
    However wanna observation on some general issues, The site taste
    is perfect, the articles is really excellent : D.

    Good task, cheers

  46. I just could not go away your web site before suggesting that I actually loved the usual information a person provide to your visitors?
    Is going to be back continuously to investigate cross-check new posts

  47. With havin so much content and articles do you ever run into any issues of plagorism or
    copyright violation? My site has a lot of unique content I’ve either authored myself or outsourced but it seems a lot of it is
    popping it up all over the web without my permission. Do you know any techniques to help prevent content from being stolen? I’d really
    appreciate it.

  48. hello there and thank you for your info – I have certainly picked up anything new from right
    here. I did however expertise several technical issues using this site, as I experienced to reload the site a lot of times previous to I could get it to load properly.
    I had been wondering if your hosting is OK? Not that I’m complaining, but sluggish loading instances times
    will sometimes affect your placement in google and can damage your high-quality score if ads and marketing with
    Adwords. Well I’m adding this RSS to my email and could
    look out for a lot more of your respective intriguing content.
    Make sure you update this again very soon.

  51. Excellent beat ! I wish to apprentice while you amend your site, how could i subscribe for a blog web site?

    The account helped me a acceptable deal. I had been a little bit acquainted of this your broadcast offered bright clear concept

Back to top button