FANTASY FOOTBALL STRATEGY: DRAFT TRENDS. BEAST THE CURVE (2013)
FANTASY FOOTBALL STRATEGY:
DRAFT TRENDS. BEAST THE CURVE (2013)
By Muntradamus
BEAST DOME NATION.
Drafts are still premature. People are making mistakes and not thinking like they should. Everything from superstar QBs dropping to the 3rd Round, to 1st Round Talent at other Positions Dropping to the 4th. Below explains it all.
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ARTICLES THAT WILL HELP YOU COME DRAFT DAY
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TESTIMONIAL
I just want to say thanks Muntradamus, you will never know how much you’ve helped me all season long. When I first came to this site, it was just to gather some help and move on. I never knew I would stay around all season. Every week, there was new info for me to use in all 5 of the leagues I played in. Then there were those timeless one on one times when you suggested a player that turned out to be a beast all season long. And even when you didn’t answer my question, your suggestions to others helped me. You know your stuff man, lol. I also want to thank all the members, Beast Dome Nation, namely Blue, who also helped me a lot. And now that my baseball season is or has come to a end, it’s on to Football, and you’ve haven’t missed a beat there either. So, thanks again. I ended the season with 2 Championship teams and 3 – 2nd place teams. In one league I was in first place since week 5 and stayed there all season long. That’s how much you info helped me. Not to many people can go through a season like that, IMO. So, thanks dude, you are the man. May you continue to be successful and I’ll definitely be here soaking up all your wisdom. God Bless you, and thanks again.
-REV
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WEEK PRESEASON WEEK 2
DRAFT TRENDS. BEAST THE CURVE (2013)
TIER 1 QBs Going in 3rd Round
FANTASY FOOTBALL TIER RANKINGS
Last season if you were able to get Aaron Rodgers outside of Round 1, you could possibly have the best steal of your draft.
This season Fantasy owners are going with the theory that the Tier 1 is not important and you can get good quality running QBs later on. While I do agree with the potential being there for the Running QB, I would still take any of the star Tier 1 QBs in Round 2. Peyton Manning/Aaron Rodgers/Drew Brees will be the highest scoring players in your league.
IF YOU MISS OUT ON TIER 1 QB
Your team is fine. Depending on your league, there is still HUGE value late.
Eli Manning/Tony Romo go as the #10/#11/#12 QB Range in most leagues. Both of these QBs have the weapons to dominate this season. I would just wait and grab one of them.
ROMO/ELI
Miles Austin/Dez Bryant/Jason Witten. Besides Austin who is a low-end WR #2, Dez/Witten Must-Start every week.
Hakeem Nicks/Victor Cruz/Brandon Myers. Besides Myers who is a high-end TE #2, Nicks/Cruz borderline Must-Start every week.
Peyton/Rodgers/Brees/Ryan
D-Thomas/Welker/Decker. Besides Decker who is a high-end WR #3, Welker/D-Thomas Must-Start every week.
Nelson/Cobb/Jones/Finley. Besides Jones who is a middle tier WR #3, Nelson/Cobb/Finley are Must-Start every week.
Colston/Moore/Graham. Besides Moore who is a low-end WR #2, Colston/Graham are Must-Start every week.
Jones/White/Gonzalez. All are Must-Start for Matt Ryan.
Solid Running Backs are usually gone By Round 4 in Fantasy Leagues
Unless you want players like Christopher Ivory or Lamar Miller as your #2/#3 RB. Do yourself a favor and draft RB/RB/RB/RB
Jonathan Stewart Keeps Going Later and Later.
Even if he starts the season on the PUP and misses the first 6 Weeks of the season. DeAnglo Williams is not the RB he was back in 2003. The Panthers allowed DeAnglo to walk after his contract expired so he can see the market. The market was not giving DeAnglo anything, so he signed a contract with the Panthers that puts him in the backup price Range.
Now that the Panthers are not obliged to play DeAnglo because of his contract, you can expect Jonathan Stewart to be a full-time RB when healthy. It is a long season, and for the past three seasons we have been waiting for this moment. Draft him when everyone lets him off the board.
Great WR Options Continue To Go After Round 6 In 12 Team Leagues
Anquan Boldin. Desean Jackson. Mike Wallace. Miles Austin.
All of these players were boarderline WR #1 type players, and all of them are coming into 2013 with more hype than they have had the last couple of seasons. No reason you should be drafting star WRs when you end up with Lamar Miller as a starting RB. As oppposed to drafting star Running Backs and ending up with these great WRs.
MONTEE BALL GOING TO GO IN ROUND 3
If your draft is after Saturday, you will have to spend a 3rd Round Pick at the latest to get Montee Ball. He is in prime position to take over the job, and all it takes is a few really impressive runs. Ronnie Hillman fumbled away his opportunity, Knowshon Moreno is not better than Montee Ball no matter how you try to explain it.
ROB GRONKOWSKI WILL BE BACK BY WEEK 3
That is great news for Fantasy Football owners. Gronk is a BEAST and should be drafted in the 3rd Round of every Fantasy Draft. He is now currently being drafted in the 4th, which is a HUGE steal if that opportunity comes to you. Come playoff time in Fantasy Football, the last thing you want to do is face a good team that also has Gronk at TE. He will be a BEAST with no Aaron Hernandez.
IF YOU MISS OUT ON GRONK
Look at Fred Davis/Julius Thomas as a Late Combo. Charles Clay is also an excellent sleeper. I have both Ranked so much higher than the field, that the Sleeper/Bust Tool on FantasyPros cannot compute it.
Muntradamus is a Fantasy Sports Expert who specializes in Fantasy Football/Baseball/Basketball. He is currently in his second season as a Pro on FantasyPros coming off of an impressive Rookie Campaign where he landed the #8 Overall In-Season Fantasy Football Rankings Expert. Which also included #1 WR of all Expert Sites. He is also one of two people to qualify for all DRAFTSTREET CHAMPIONSHIPS (MLB/NFL/NBA) in 2012. Most Historically, Muntradamus was the #1 Fantasy Football Expert of IDP & Overall Rankings in One Week, first and only time in Fantasy Sports History.
would that mean you would take montee in the 3rd round, and gronk in the 4th?
For a 10 team league would you still recommend going RB, RB, RB, RB or would u grab Gronk or your WR #1 in the 4th?
So, if I am reading correctly the goal is to grab 4 RB’s in the first 4 rounds and that only changes if a tier 1 QB falls into your lap in the 2nd or 3rd and same goes for Gronk/Graham? And if we do indeed end up going 4 RB’s then aim for WR in 5-6 and wait until about 7/8/9 to go QB depending on depth of RB left? Also if we miss on Gronk/Graham when should we start targeting TE?
Great Question Knapp let me clarify even more.
You do NOT NEED to take an ELITE QB like Peyton in Round 2.
In fact, if you do take Peyton in Round 2. You lose out on Gronk as you cannot go RB/QB/RB/TE. You will be pretty raw at RB in Round 5, unless you are in a Yahoo League where Yahoo ranks Montee Ball #62 at RB it seems like.
There is a more detailed article in the V.I.P. website Muntradamus.NET that you have access to. There are daily articles on that site to have you ready to BEAST your league.
The IDEAL Draft Strategy which I will reveal here.
RB – McCoy
RB – S-Jax
RB – Murray
TE – Gronk
RB – Ball
WR/WR/WR/WR – Nicks/Jackson/Boldin/Moore
Then you grab a QB. Matt Stafford is falling to the #8-#10 QB off the board. After this preseason game tonight, the Lions look like the “greatest show on turf” when Megatron returns.
Go Gronk in the 4th if he there.
I would then go RB in the 5th to get either Ball/Bradshaw/Lacy
After that…
Go with WR/WR/WR/WR to fill out your team.
Munt – not a subscriber but I was drafting for a 12 men league (11th pick) over on ESPN…. drafted Rb/Rb/Rb/Rb – and got McCoy, S-Jax, Murray, Montee Ball… Rbs were a premium that by rd 5, only the likes of Ryan Mathews and Lamar Miller, Ahmad Bradshaw was left… the Gronk got taken by rd 4 too.
For WR, I got Nelson/D-Jax/M-Austin/L-Moore/Hartline…
Eli, Romo was gone by rd 7… had to settle for Vick, Freeman on rd (11,13) and J-Cameron on (12)
My squad: rg3, eli, Charles, sjax, monte ball, Mathews garcon, m. Williams, Gordon, Michael Floyd, v. brown, harvin. jimmy graham, stl defense, Baltimore defense, and matt prater. The following options are decent pickups that are available right now..in my opinion. Josh freeman (thinking about getting him as trade bait if nobody else gets him first), piere Thomas, Moreno, tampa defense, atl defense, Vikings defense, and Kicker josh brown ( i have eli as my backup or possible #1 qb) Who to pick up and who to drop? Beastnation! Thanks!
Wouldnt taking 4 straight rbs be a little foolish cuz u can only start 3 of them. Wouldnt u wanna fill the starting spots first?
In a 10 team league where passing TD’s are 6 points, when do you go for a QB? Would grabbing Peyton, Brees or Rodgers in the 1st round work best or would you recommend sticking with the RB-RB-RB-Gronk-Ball strategy?
does the RB,RB,RB,RB hold true even without a flex position
Yah I would like to know that too with passing tds at 6 doesn’t the value of those top teir qbs go up and a must grab in 2 round?
I would like to know that too , what Matt R just suggested. Would that make the top tier QBs value go up to must grab in as the 2nd round pick?
Squad romo Charles alf vjax bowe gronk drich/shorts tucker browns. Got gronk 4th
Did I do ok?