FANTASY FOOTBALL: OVERPAID, BE AFRAID (ADP BUSTS)
FANTASY FOOTBALL:
OVERPAID, BE AFRAID (ADP BUSTS)
By Muntradamus
BEAST DOME NATION.
RB/WR Rankings are coming soon, before we dive into those I want you to all know there will be a special announcement soon. For all of you who are hesitating on the V.I.P. Package, DRAFTSTREET will be offering a 1x signup bonus to all new DRAFTSTREET users if you want to sample out the Rankings on Muntradamus.NET for 1 Week.
More details coming tomorrow
This article today is a bit of a sample of my RB/WR Rankings. I will be looking at Two IDP Busts per position as we head into the 2013 Fantasy Football Season. These are people who you can let slide by in any format.
RB RANKINGS COMING WEDNESDAY NIGHT
QB
ANDY DALTON – QB – CIN
ADP #107
QB #14
The Red Rifle is a much better reality QB than a Fantasy QB. The Bengals passing game is a one man offense in A.J. Green. While A.J. can have his BEAST weeks, he can also be limited. If A.J. Green is limited in any week, there is no way that Bengals WR core can put up numbers to support a Top 15 Fantasy QB. Even when A.J. Green has his big weeks, you still need one or two other playmakers to near the 100 Yard marker for those memorable games.
If you want a chance to win your Fantasy Football league, you are better off using your 107th pick on something better.
JOE FLACCO – QB – BAL
ADP #123
QB #16
Tell me if this makes sense. Your team just won the Superbowl, your biggest and most consistent WR for the past three seasons, Anquan Boldin, has the playoff run of his life with 4 TDs. Including a 10 Catch 104 Yard 1 TD performance against the leagues best defense in the Superbowl.
So your team trades him to the team you just beat in the Superbowl. Your “Superstar” QB who just signs a mega extension is now without his best WR. The Ravens decide not to sign another WR. So now, you are seeing if what you paid for can get it done without his best WR. Which never works for the best.
Avoid Joe Flacco this season as Torrey Smith and Dennis Pitta were much better because Anquan demanded the defenses attention.
RB
DAVID WILSON – RB – NYG
ADP #35
RB #19
David Wilson is lightning in a bottle. While that translates to some blowout wins in your Fantasy League, it can also cause heartbreak. There are a few red flags on Wilson.
1. The Giants will be a pass 1st/pass 2nd/pass 3rd offense.
2. Andre Brown is supposed to be splitting the carries 50/50.
3. Andre Brown will be the TD Vulture at the goal line.
4. David Wilson is prone to being in the coaches dog house. Fumbles/Mistakes.
All of this adds up to a lot of risk for the #19 RB off the board. Andre Brown can easily turn into a workhorse back if he thrives, which will add up to a lot of disappointing Sundays.
BENJARVUS GREEN-ELLIS – RB – CIN
ADP #71
RB #29
Still too early to tell, but it is looking likely that Green-Ellis will not have a full-time job with this offense. The rookie Giovani Bernard is making noise in camp, and the coaches are loving every second of it.
Green-Ellis is good for being a bowling ball, but Bernard can be that HR RB that this team needs to really confuse those safeties. While “The Law Firm BJGE” is a good RB to pick up those 80 Yard/1 TD performances, he is also a RB that could only get you 40 Yards as Bernard steals the show.
Watch that situation closely this preseason.
WR
TY HILTON – WR – IND
ADP #78
WR #30
Thank You Hilton is a Fantasy Player that is going to see his value drop more than any WR.
1. The Colts are moving to a quick pass offense aka West Coast Offense.
2. The Colts signed Darrius Heyward-Bey who is arguably the fastest WR in the NFL.
3. The Colts may actually have a legitimate running game in 2013 with Bradshaw.
What made Ty Special was the fact the Colts had no running game in 2012. If Andrew Luck did not chuck the ball 35+ Times, including a few streaks to Ty. Then the Colts had zero chance. Now Ty has more competition for targets with DHB coming into town. All of this adds up to be a situation to avoid, especially in a 2 TE offense.
WR RANKINGS FROM THE #1 FANTASYPROS EXPERT in WR Weekly Rankings Coming Friday..
Muntradamus is a Fantasy Sports Expert who specializes in Fantasy Football/Baseball/Basketball. He is currently in his second season as a Pro on FantasyPros coming off of an impressive Rookie Campaign where he landed the #8 Overall In-Season Fantasy Football Rankings Expert. Which also included #1 WR of all Expert Sites. He is also one of two people to qualify for all DRAFTSTREET CHAMPIONSHIPS (MLB/NFL/NBA) in 2012. Most Historically, Muntradamus was the #1 Fantasy Football Expert of IDP & Overall Rankings in One Week, first and only time in Fantasy Sports History.