Fantasy Football: WR Draft Guide Strategy 2012

By Muntradamus
BEAST DOME NATION.

The last day of all the position draft guides.  This upcoming week we will cover IDP and other individual player articles, as well as everything you need to get ready for your draft.

Feel free to ask any questions on the bottom, or in the BEAST DOME NATION chat to the side.

 

WR Is A Position That Can Boom or Bust Your Team

There are about 20 stud WRs in Fantasy Football this season, while the next bunch is a lot of hit or miss guys with good potential.  The strategy I will be doing this season when it comes to WR is take the studs if they land to me, and I will do what it takes to get two of the top 20.  If there is a FLEX position, I will most likely be using that spot on a WR if I grab one of the top 20.

 

ADVANTAGES TO TAKING TWO WR’s IN THE FIRST TWO-THREE ROUNDS:

• You have studs that can have 100 Yard, 2 TD games more consistently than you think.  Most of the RBs you are going to go after in the 2nd or 3rd round will probably have less stats.  Unless you manage to get a player such as DeMarco Murray or Darren McFadden.
• It gives you the option of pairing your best WR with your STUD QB. If you have Victor Cruz, you can end up with Eli Manning later on and create a very nice combo.  I would find a way to get Hakeem Nicks.
• If your WRs go off for big games, and one of your two RBs that you get later on such as Willis McGahee, you will automatically have what it takes to win that week.

 

IF YOU DRAFT QB/RB/RB/TE then go for WR:

• Then it is a good thing you have me as your Fantasy Expert who will point you to all the sleepers of the Week.
• You will most likely end up with a WR in the quality of Eric Decker, you can only hope that you end up with Brandon Lloyd.
• You will get inconsistent production from your WR’s, but your TE better be a consistent stud such as Antonio Gates.
• I would not go with the strategy as nothing is more frustrating to see your star RB have a bad game, while your hit or miss WRs miss badly.

 

The TRIOS:

• I will cover this more in another article coming this week, but essentially it is getting the two best WRs on a team with a QB.
• A good strategy if you want to go with Tony Romo and his options, which he actually has 3 if you include Witten.
• Matt Ryan and his two Stud WR’s of Jones and White are the most dangerous Trio in all Fantasy Football.
• A great strategy to go into your draft with if you feel the need to take a RB in the 1st round.  If you take RBs in the first two rounds, then you should no doubt go with this strategy.

Fantasy Football WR TIER RANKINGS:

*Player Analysis is Below.  Round is anticipated for a 10 Team League.  If more teams, just ballpark a bit earlier.  If two QB league, ballpark to draft everyone a lot earlier.

** Players I like.

 

Tier 1: (Round 1)

** 1. Calvin Johnson – DET

Tier 2: (Round 2-4)

**2. Brandon Marshall – CHI

**3. Victor Cruz – NYG

**4. Andre Johnson – HOU

**5. Marques Colston – NO

**6. Steve Smith – CAR

**7. Roddy White – ATL

**8. Julio Jones – ATL

**9. Larry Fitzgerald – ARI (Needs Skleton)

**10. A.J. Green – CIN

**11. Wes Welker – NE

**12. Dez Bryant – DAL

**13. Miles Austin – DAL

**14. Percy Harvin – MIN

**15. Hakeem Nicks – NYG

16. Greg Jennings – GB

TIER 3: (Round 5-9)

**17. Stevie Johnson – BUF

**18. Brandon Lloyd – NE

19. Jordy Nelson – GB

**20. Dwayne Bowe – KC

**21. Jeremy Maclin – PHI

**22. Pierre Garcon – WAS

23. Vincent Jackson – TB

24. Eric Decker – DEN

**25. Reggie Wayne – IND

**26. Antonio Brown – PIT

27. Desean Jackson – PHI

**28. Santonio Holmes – NYJ

29. Mike Wallace – PIT

30. Demariyus Thomas – DEN

**31. Nate Washington – TEN

32. Malcolm Floyd – SD

33. SIDNEY RICE -SEA

 

Tier 4: Round (10-18)

34. Justin Blackmon – JAX

35. Lance Moore – NO

36. Kenny Britt – TEN

37. Denarius Moore – OAK

**38. Steve Smith – STL

39. Robert Meachem – SD

**40. Brandon LaFell – CAR

41. Torrey Smith – BAL

42. Mike Williams – TB

**43. Brian Quick – STL

44. Austin Collie – IND

45. Titus Young – DET

46. Anquan Boldin – BAL

47. Greg Little – CLE

**48. Devery Henderson – NO

49. Emmanuel Sanders – PIT

**50. Terrell Owens – SEA

51. Michael Crabtree – SF

 

Tier 5: Round (END)

**52. Randall Cobb – GB

53. Laurent Robinson – JAX

54. Michael Floyd – ARI

55. Randy Moss – SF

56. Santana Moss – WAS

57. Danny Amendola – STL

58. Davone Bess – MIA

59. Louis Murphy – CAR

60. Darrius Heyward-Bey – OAK

61. Nate Buerlson – DET

62. James Jones – GB

63. Mario Manningham – SF

64. Doug Baldwin – SEA

65. Earl Bennett – CHI

66. Jacoby Ford – OAK

67. Brian Hartline – MIA

68. Steve Breaston – KC

69. Jon Baldwin – KC

 

WRs W/NEW OFFENSIVE COORDINATORS TO NOTE:

Reggie Wayne – BRUCE ARIANS – IND

Arians was the offensive coordinator for the Steelers.  What we learned is Arians relied on Ben Roethlisberger to carry the team every week.  Some weeks he exploded for HUGE performances.  Andrew Luck should benefit from this, which means Reggie Wayne will too.

 

Brandon Marshall – MIKE TICE – CHI

Mike Tice was a fan of making sure Daunte Culpepper and Randy Moss got their numbers when he was the Head Coach for the Vikings.  He implemented the Randy Ratio which basically forced the ball to Randy Moss on 40% of the pass attempts.  Look for Tice to do something similar, but this time around not tell everyone about it. If Brandon Marshall has a monster season, so will Cutler.

 

Brandon Lloyd – JOSH MCDANIELS – NE

McDaniels turned Brandon Lloyd into a monster at Denver with a 1400+ receiving season that came out of nowhere.  Now that McDaniels is reunited with Brady who needs a deep option, you can bet that McDaniels will be calling Lloyd’s number a lot when defenses have to focus on stopping the big TEs.  It will only take a handful of deep passes a game to get Lloyd the numbers he needs.

 

Antonio Brown – TODD HALEY – PIT

With Todd Haley running a no huddle offense, that will require a lot of safe throws which is perfect for a possession WR.  Antonio is that perect possesion WR who could see double digit reception games.

 

BUSTS:

 

TORREY SMITH/ANQUAN BOLDIN – BAL – WR

MUNTRADAMUS TORREY SMITH RANK: #41
EXPERT AVERAGE TORREY SMITH RANK: #28
MUNTRADAMUS ANQUAN BOLDIN RANK: #46
EXPERT AVERAGE ANQUAN BOLDIN RANK: #36

Both players have good chances for disappointing seasons.  The Ravens are not only a run first team, but Flacco is not a consistent QB who will reach the 250 Yard mark every week.  Even if he does, it is usually because Ray Rice had a big game through the air.  Smith will get his long TDs every now and then, but if you depend on him enough you will get burned.  Anquan Boldin is only getting older and is slowly turning into a great possession WR.

JORDY NELSON/GREG JENNINGS– BAL – QB

MUNTRADAMUS JORDY NESLON RANK: #19
EXPERT AVERAGE JORDY NESLON RANK: #12
MUNTRADAMUS GREG JENNINGS RANK: #16
EXPERT AVERAGE GREG JENNINGS RANK: #3

Jermichael Finley, Randall Cobb, James Jones, and now Cedric Benson a RB who is capable of handling 15 carries.  That is a lot of WR options or Rodgers this season which means there will be few weeks that studs like Nelson and Jennings do not perform to an ELITE level.  #3 for Greg Jennings is too high with his injury prone potential.  Already with a concussion, and I will most likely pass on Drat Day.

 

 

 

SLEEPERS:

*Coming this week.

 

Projected WR PLAYOFF RANKINGS (Top 10):

 

*This is the list of the top 10 playoff QB Rankings.  If the QB is on the list, that means the WR will most likely be having a big game.  If the player is a singular WR option on the team such as Andre Johnson, or Brandon Marshall.  They will have higher values than players such as Jordy Nelson and Greg Jennings since they will be competing for the big game.

#1. AARON RODGERS – GB – QB

Week 14: VS. MIN
Week 15: @ CHI
Week 16: VS. TEN
Week 17: @ MIN

#2. CAM NEWTON – CAR – QB

Week 14: VS. ATL
Week 15: @ SD
Week 16: VS. OAK
Week 17: @NO

#3. DREW BREES – NO – QB

Week 14: @ NYG
Week 15: VS. TB
Week 16: @DAL
Week 17: VS. CAR

#4. TOM BRADY – NE – QB

Week 14: VS. HOU
Week 15: VS. SF
Week 16: @ JAC
Week 17: VS. MIA

#5. MATT RYAN – ATL – QB

Week 14: @ CAR
Week 15: VS. NYG
Week 16: @ DET
Week 17: VS. TB

#6. MATT STAFFORD – DET – QB

Week 14: @GB
Week 15: @ARI
Week 16: VS. ATL
Week 17: VS. CHI

#7. MATT SCHAUB – HOU – QB

Week 14: @NE
Week 15: VS. IND
Week 16: VS. MIN
Week 17: @IND

#8. JOSH FREEMAN – TB – QB

Week 14: VS. PHI
Week 15: @ NO
Week 16: VS. STL
Week 17: @ ATL

#9. JAY CUTLER – CHI- QB

Week 14: @ MIN
Week 15: VS. GB
Week 16: ARI
Week 17: @ DET

#10. PEYTON MANNING – DEN – QB

Week 14: @ OAK
Week 15: @ BAL
Week 16: VS. CLE
Week 17: VS. KC

WR RANKINGS FULL SEASON: